A nationwide poll taken after last week’s 90th Thessaloniki International Fair puts New Democracy first in estimated vote share, with Alexis Tsipras’s new Greek Left Coalition (ELAS) second and PASOK third.
The survey, conducted for Action 24, also asked voters how they judged the economic and policy pitches made at TIF.
Voting intention
- New Democracy: 25.7%
- ELAS: 13.2%
- PASOK: 10.1%
- Greek Solution: 6.1%
- KKE: 5.7%
- Course of Freedom: 4.5%
- Hope for Democracy (Maria Karystianou): 4.0%
- Voice of Reason: 2.7% (below the 3% threshold)
Estimated vote share (eight-party parliament)
- ND 31%
- ELAS 15.9%
- PASOK 12.1%
- Greek Solution 7.3%
- KKE 6.8%
- Course of Freedom 5.4%
- Hope for Democracy 4.8%
- Voice of Reason 3.3%
The published seat projection gives ND 126 seats, ELAS 49, PASOK 38, Greek Solution 24, KKE 21, Hope for Democracy 15 and Voice of Reason 10. Course of Freedom appears in the vote-share table but not in that seat list.
TIF and leadership
Some 29.6% said they were fairly or very satisfied with Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s TIF proposals, against 16.4% for Nikos Androulakis and 15.9% for Tsipras.
Asked who they expect to win an election, 56.1% said ND, 9.5% ELAS and 5% PASOK; 15.7% did not know or would not say.
Best suited as prime minister: Mitsotakis 27.9%, “none” 24.9%, Tsipras 13.9%, Androulakis 7.4%.
Most trusted to deliver on the economy: “none” 35.1%, Mitsotakis 31.5%, Tsipras 15%, Androulakis 10%.
On a party led by former prime minister Antonis Samaras, 11.5% said they were fairly or very likely to vote for it; 86.2% said they were unlikely or not at all likely.
Source: Opinion Poll survey for Action 24, 16 September 2026.
